So Alabama
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 90.4140Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H No Texas American ( 6- 6, 90.2) 38-52 907 A Ohio MA (10- 3, 91.4) 20-27 912 H NW State 87-10 919 A App St SUN ( 5- 6, 90.8) 48-14 928 A LSU SEC ( 8- 4, 95.4) 10-42 1005 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 5, 90.2) 16-18 1015 H Troy SUN ( 4- 8, 89.1) 25- 9 1026 H La-Monroe SUN ( 5- 7, 89.5) 46-17 1102 H Georgia So SUN ( 8- 4, 92.7) 30-34 1116 A Louisiana SUN (10- 3, 93.2) 24-22 1123 A So Miss SUN ( 1-11, 83.8) 35-14 1129 H Texas State SUN ( 7- 5, 91.5) 38-45
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
831 H No Texas 38-52 -14 1 --- -6.09
907 A Ohio 20-27 -7 -2 - -3.09
919 A App St 48-14 34 -1 +++ 6.27
928 A LSU 10-42 -32 -6 0.00
1005 A Arkansas State 16-18 -2 -1 -1.34
1015 H Troy 25- 9 16 2 + 2.79
1026 H La-Monroe 46-17 29 2 + 3.23
1102 H Georgia So 30-34 -4 -1 - -2.62
1116 A Louisiana 24-22 2 -4 ++ 5.71
1123 A So Miss 35-14 21 6 0.00
1129 H Texas State 38-45 -7 0 -- -4.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 831 H No Texas 38-52 -14 1 --- -6.09 1129 H Texas State 38-45 -7 0 -- -4.86 907 A Ohio 20-27 -7 -2 - -3.09 1102 H Georgia So 30-34 -4 -1 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 919 A App St 48-14 34 -1 +++ 6.27 1116 A Louisiana 24-22 2 -4 ++ 5.71 1015 H Troy 25- 9 16 2 + 2.79 1026 H La-Monroe 46-17 29 2 + 3.23 |
So Alabama Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Charlotte | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fla Atlantic | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Memphis | Memphis | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| So Florida | So Alabama | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | So Alabama | |
| Temple | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | So Alabama | |
| UAB | So Alabama | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| UTSA | So Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UCLA | |
| USC | USC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Jacksonv. St | So Alabama | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Kennesaw St | So Alabama | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Liberty | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| La Tech | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Middle Tenn | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| NM St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| SHouston St | So Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Alabama | |
| UTEP | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| We Kentucky | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| UMass | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Ball St | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Bowl. Green | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Buffalo | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Cen Michigan | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Ea Michigan | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Kent State | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| MiamiOH | So Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Alabama | |
| No Illinois | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| We Michigan | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Air Force | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Nevada | So Alabama | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | So Alabama | |
| New Mexico | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| San Diego St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Wyoming | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Oregon St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas | |
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Florida | |
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Arkansas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Coastal Car | So Alabama | So Alabama 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Georgia So | Georgia So | Georgia So | ||
| Georgia St | So Alabama | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | So Alabama | |
| J Madison | So Alabama | So Alabama 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Louisiana | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| So Miss | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| La-Monroe | So Alabama | So Alabama |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H No Texas ( 6- 6, 90.2) 38-52 -9.67 8.59 -0.91 1.10 -11.64
0 A Ohio (10- 3, 91.4) 20-27 -8.48 9.78 0.91 1.10 -8.33
0 A App St ( 5- 6, 90.8) 48-14 -9.12 9.14 0.91 1.10 11.05
0 A LSU ( 8- 4, 95.4) 10-42 -4.52 13.74 0.91 1.10 -3.98
0 A Arkansas State ( 7- 5, 90.2) 16-18 -9.74 8.52 0.91 1.10 -9.72
0 H Troy ( 4- 8, 89.1) 25- 9 -10.79 7.46 -0.91 1.10 7.22
0 H La-Monroe ( 5- 7, 89.5) 46-17 -10.35 7.90 -0.91 1.10 7.70
0 H Georgia So ( 8- 4, 92.7) 30-34 -7.21 11.05 -0.91 1.10 -8.92
0 A Louisiana (10- 3, 93.2) 24-22 -6.68 11.57 0.91 1.10 13.73
0 A So Miss ( 1-11, 83.8) 35-14 -16.09 2.16 0.91 1.10 3.38
0 H Texas State ( 7- 5, 91.5) 38-45 -8.44 9.82 -0.91 1.10 -10.28
------
-9.79
|
winning pts = 43.0780 losing points = -52.8697
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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